All posts by Jason

OCR unchanged at 2.5 percent in December

The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.5 percent.

Wary of a rather cloudy outlook he said “Given the current unusual degree of uncertainty around global conditions and the moderate pace of domestic demand, it remains prudent for now to keep the OCR on hold at 2.5 percent.”

So far there have been no changes to home loan floating interest rates.

Over the pond the Australian Reserve Bank cut their benchmark rate on Tuesday by 0.25% which, at the time of writing, had not been passed on to customers by the big 4 Banks. Update 9/12/2011 The rate cut has now been passed on.

Statistic’s out from Barfoot and Thompson today show residential sales by them have clawed ahead from the year previously.

12 months to November 2011 = 9,156 properties

12 months to November 2010 = 8,111 properties

A Kiwi Amongst The Pidgeons

Kiwibank late last week gave the home loan interest rate market a shakeup, trimming home loan fixed interest rates across the board.

Spring, in the home loans market, has often been marked by one off promotional interest rate deductions, and “special offers” over the years.  This year was shaping up to be pretty tame with the major lenders preferring to offer extensions to pre approvals and some help with one’s professional fee’s, rather than heavily promote a discounted interest rate.

Kiwibanks home loan fixed interest rate cuts have given the market a shake up though and today Westpac Bank has responded.  They have cut their fixed interest rates also.

0.41% comes off the 2 year fixed interest rate which now sits at 5.89%.

The 4 year fixed interest rate gets the most lopped off, down by 0.45% to 6.85%.

Fixed versus Floating…aaahh that is the question. 🙂

Fixing won’t suit everyone due to differing circumstances, so please ensure you sit down with someone knowledgeable and discuss the pro’s and con’s of doing so before leaping at these shiny new, and sparkling, interest rates.

Enjoy your week. (And to the All Blacks, their Management and Crew…You were Awesome!!)

OCR unchanged at 2.5 percent at October Meeting

In line with the last OCR meeting in mid September the Reserve Bank has left the OCR unchanged at 2.5 percent this morning.

The Governor commented..

“Given the ongoing global economic and financial risks, it remains prudent to continue to keep the OCR on hold at 2.5 percent for now. However, if global developments have only a mild impact on the New Zealand economy, it is likely that gradually increasing pressure on domestic resources will require future OCR increases.”

In other news ANZ Bank used the cover of the recent credit rating downgrade and the build up to the Rugby World Cup Final to last week announce an increase in the interest rate on their revolving credit home loans.  Applying from the 1st of November this floating rate goes from 5.65% to 5.85%.  In the notification letter to customers no reason was given. It opened with the rather non explanatory sentence “I’m writing to let you know about a change to the interest you pay on your…”

OCR unchanged at 2.5 percent

Its doubtful many will have been surprised by the Reserve Banks announcement to leave the OCR unchanged at 2.5 percent this morning.

The Reserve Bank Governor is keeping a close watch on what is occurring overseas with the following.

“If recent global developments have only a mild impact on the New Zealand economy, it is likely that the OCR will need to increase. For now, given the recent intensification in global economic and financial risks, it is prudent to continue to hold the OCR at 2.5 percent.”

Its possible to envisage a lack of action occurring in the property market in the near term. What with the wonderful distraction of the Rugby World Cup (we recommend you use your feet to journey about rather than anything that, at one time, made a Choo Choo sound) followed by the distraction of an election, which then pretty much rolls us into Christmas, where we traditionally womble off to the beach for a month, it may well be steady as she goes through to February.

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Sovereign Raises Fixed Interest Rates Across The Board

In somewhat of a surprise move ASB Bank has today tested the home loan fixed interest rate market through its subsidiary Sovereign by raising home loan fixed interest rates across the board.

1 year fixed goes from 5.95% to 6.15%. 18 months fixed goes up a whopping 40 basis points from 6% to 6.40%. And even the 5 year rate gets a tune up from 7.60% to 7.75%

Given last weeks OCR announcement, rises in short term home loan interest rates would not have been particularly surprising. Rises in them all, from 6 months through to 5 years fixed, is however and It shall be interesting to see if the major lenders follow.

UPDATE: 09/08/2011

Having been left out in the breeze by the rest of the market, which did not follow ASB and Sovereign in raising home loan fixed interest rates, a u-turn has occurred and notification of home loan fixed interest rate decreases is just through. 18 months fixed is cut from 6.40% down to 6.10% and the very surprising rise in the 5 year rate from last week to 7.75% is now trimmed down to 7.40%, below where it was before last weeks rise.

With global financial markets getting spanked the past few days on growth concerns we hold no inspiration to move from a floating interest rate.

 

Official Cash Rate Unchanged

The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.5 percent.

Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said: “Provided current global financial risks recede and the economy continues to recover, the Bank sees little need for the March 2011 ‘insurance’ cut to remain in place much longer. The current very high value of the New Zealand dollar is acting as a drag on the New Zealand economy. If this persists, it is likely to reduce the need for further OCR increases in the short term.”

90 day bank bills have crept up to 2.82% today from 2.76% yesterday and up from the low 2.60’s a couple of weeks ago.  What this tells you is that the interest rate market is pricing in a raise in the OCR in the near future. Your home loan floating interest rate is therefore likely to go up.

By how much, and how frequently thereafter that first raise, well; given the current global financial trevails we shall leave that prediction to those capable of operating crystal balls.

At auction yesterday this commercial building on Mt Eden Road sold for $2,100,000 at an approximate yield of 7.36%.

ANZ Eases Home Loan Lending Criteria

Following on from our post describing ASB’s recent easing of home loan lending criteria, the ANZ has recently had an easing of their own in the area of over 80% lending.

The ANZ, assisted by their ownership of National Bank, are the largest player in the market, and the changes made make it easier to get a low deposit home loan lending proposal approved. As an example, a loan can now be measured over a 30 year term, up from a previously limiting 20 – 25 year loan term. The positive net affect for those needing a low deposit home loan is that the same amount of income will now support a larger loan amount. Once again we see restrictions, that had been put in place as a result of the GFC and its general malaise, being lifted.

At auction today this “do up” villa on 405 sqm @ 37 Third Avenue in Kingsland sold for $692,000.!!

Official Cash Rate left on hold

The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.5 percent.

Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said: “As GDP growth picks up, underlying inflation is expected to rise. A gradual increase in the OCR over the next two years will be required to offset this, such that CPI inflation tracks close to the midpoint of the target band over the latter part of the projection. The pace and timing of increases will be guided by the speed of recovery, but for now the OCR remains on hold.”

The OCR has an influence on your home loan floating interest rate. Its not the sole influence, but it is significant and as such your decision whether to fix or float your home loan, could in part be decided by how well you feel the economy is tracking along.

In our view there doesn’t appear to be much in todays statement that suggests the Reserve Bank is in any great hurry to raise. At the time of writing there have been no movements in home loan interest rates that have come through as a result of the statement.

ASB Eases Home Loan Lending Criteria

In the past couple of weeks we have noticed senior bank staff in the newspapers indicating a willingness to lend. Further evidence of this is seen today with ASB easing its home loan lending criteria. Namely they have reduced the internal interest rate used to calculate a clients home loan servicing ability, or in other words, affordability. This has a direct effect on the calculation that the bank is willing to lend you based on your income level.

Effectively your income will now support a larger loan amount today with the ASB than it did yesterday.  The bank had raised this interest rate back in May 2009 as a result of the general nervousness of that time, and its reduction today, is further evidence of home loan lending criteria improving.